[1]杨 彦,查建华,周 怡,等.基于模糊综合法的光伏发电项目风险评价方法及其应用研究[J].常州大学学报(自然科学版),2019,31(03):63-70.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.2095-0411.2019.03.007]
 YANG Yan,ZHA Jianhua,ZHOU Yi,et al.Risk Evaluation Method of Photovoltaic Power Generation Project and Its Application Research Based on Fuzzy Synthesis[J].Journal of Changzhou University(Natural Science Edition),2019,31(03):63-70.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.2095-0411.2019.03.007]
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基于模糊综合法的光伏发电项目风险评价方法及其应用研究()
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常州大学学报(自然科学版)[ISSN:2095-0411/CN:32-1822/N]

卷:
第31卷
期数:
2019年03期
页码:
63-70
栏目:
材料科学与工程
出版日期:
2019-05-28

文章信息/Info

Title:
Risk Evaluation Method of Photovoltaic Power Generation Project and Its Application Research Based on Fuzzy Synthesis
文章编号:
2095-0411(2019)03-0063-08
作者:
杨 彦1查建华1周 怡2袁宁一1丁建宁1
(1.常州大学 江苏省光伏科学与工程协同创新中心,江苏 常州 213164; 2.常州宝利环保科技有限公司,江苏 常州 213022)
Author(s):
YANG Yan1 ZHA Jianhua1 ZHOU Yi2 YUAN Ningyi1 DING Jianning1
(1.Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Photovoltaic Science and Engineering, Changzhou University, Changzhou 213164,China; 2.Changzhou Baoli Environmental Technology Co., Ltd.,Changzhou 213022,China)
关键词:
光伏发电项目 风险评价 ANP TOPSIS
Keywords:
photovoltaic power generation project risk assessment ANP TOPSIS
分类号:
X 913
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.2095-0411.2019.03.007
摘要:
结合我国光伏发电项目的发展特点和基本属性,采用风险鉴定、风险元层次分析、风险表征3个步骤,充分考虑了光伏发电项目从筹备到实施到运营的全过程,对光伏发电项目涉及的风险单元进行识别鉴定,构建基于技术性、自然、环境、政策、市场、生命周期、经营管理、并网风险等8个风险评估指标层次体系,采用ANP-TOPSIS组合的方法,建立光伏发电项目的评估模型。通过对实例进行应用,表明该方法的实用、有效性,以期为光伏发电项目的方案制定及产业建设发展提供有益参考。
Abstract:
Combining with the development characteristics and basic attributes of photovoltaic power generation projects in China, this paper adopts three aspects of risk identification, risk element hierarchy analysis and risk characterization, and fully considers the whole process of photovoltaic power generation projects from preparation to implementation and operation, and identifies the risk units involved in photovoltaic power generation projects by constructing a risk evaluation index hierarchy system for 8 risks involving technology, nature, environment, policy, market, life cycle, management and grid-connection. An evaluation model of photovoltaic power generation is established by using ANP-TOPSIS method. The application of the example shows the practicability and validity of the model, which provides a reference for the formulation of photovoltaic projects and industrial development.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2018-09-04。
基金项目:江苏省科技计划产学研前瞻性联合研究项目(BY2016029-17)。
作者简介:杨彦(1984—),女,江苏淮安人,博士,高级工程师。通信联系人:丁建宁(1966—),E-mail: dingjn@cczu.edu.cn
更新日期/Last Update: 2019-05-29