[1]郝永梅,高 乾,邢志祥,等.城市燃气管道失效风险等级评定方法研究[J].常州大学学报(自然科学版),2013,(02):38-42.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.2095-0411.2013.02.010]
　HAO Yong mei,GAO Qian,XING Zhi xiang,et al.Research on Risk Rating Method ofUrban Natural Gas Pipeline[J].Journal of Changzhou University(Natural Science Edition),2013,(02):38-42.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.2095-0411.2013.02.010]
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城市燃气管道失效风险等级评定方法研究()
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常州大学学报(自然科学版)[ISSN:2095-0411/CN:32-1822/N]

卷:
期数:
2013年02期
页码:
38-42
栏目:
安全工程
出版日期:
2013-03-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on Risk Rating Method of Urban Natural Gas Pipeline
作者:
郝永梅; 高 乾; 邢志祥; 邵 辉
常州大学 环境与安全工程学院,江苏 常州 213164
Author(s):
HAO Yong mei;  GAO Qian;  XING Zhi xiang;  SHAO Hui
School of Environmental and Safety Engineering, Changzhou University, Changzhou 213164, China
关键词:
燃气管道;  物元和可拓集理论;  肯特评分法;  层次分析法;  风险等级评定
Keywords:
gas pipeline;  matter element and extension set theory;  Kent evaluation method;  analytic hierarchy process;  risk rating
分类号:
X 933.4
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.2095-0411.2013.02.010
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
引入物元和可拓集理论,结合肯特评分法和层次分析法,建立了城市燃气管道风险等级评定的计算模型,确定了燃气管道主要风险因素,即第三方破坏、腐蚀因素、设计因素和操作管理因素等,以及各项风险特征评分及其权重赋值的方法,并设计编制了计算程序运用于实例计算。结果表明基于物元和可拓集合理论的评定方法对燃气管道的风险评定是可行性和有效性的,计算程序既验证了人工计算结果,又方便了多个区域多个评价单元的管道风险等级评定,增强了实际应用性,为城市燃气管道的风险等级评定提供了新的、有效途径。
Abstract:
The matter-element and extension set theory was introduced to study and analyze the gas pipeline risk characteristics; the calculation model of city gas pipeline risk rating was established; the main risk factors were determined, namely the third party, the corrosion damage factors, the design factors and the operation management factors. The calculation model and mathematics functions of the gas pipeline risk rating are ensured and the risk rating results for taking an example of 3 evaluation units in some pipelines of A Gas Pipeline Company are obtained. The result shows that the rating method based on the matter-element and extension set theory is feasible and effective for gas pipeline risk assessment. The Visual Basic program not only verifies the artificial calculation but also is convenient for risk rating in multiple areas and multiple evaluation unit of gas pipeline, the practical application is enhanced, and a new and effective way is provided for risk rating of city gas pipeline.

参考文献/References:

[1]Muhlauer W K. Pipeline risk management manual[M]. New York: GPP, 2004: 40.
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[3] 冯斌, 李大全, 廖国威. 改进的油气管道风险专家评分方法[J]. 油气储运, 2008, 27(11): 4-8.
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[8] 戴联双, 张俊义, 张鑫, 等. RiskScore管道风险评价方法与应用[J]. 油气储运, 2010, 29(11): 818-820.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
基金项目:常州市科技支撑计划(CE20125005); 江苏省科技支撑计划(BE2012644) 作者简介:郝永梅(1970-),女,重庆万县人,副教授。
更新日期/Last Update: 2013-03-30